View a PDF of the paper titled System 2 thinking in OpenAI’s o1-preview model: Near-perfect performance on a mathematics exam, by Joost de Winter and 2 other authors
Abstract:The processes underlying human cognition are often divided into System 1, which involves fast, intuitive thinking, and System 2, which involves slow, deliberate reasoning. Previously, large language models were criticized for lacking the deeper, more analytical capabilities of System 2. In September 2024, OpenAI introduced the o1 model series, designed to handle System 2-like reasoning. While OpenAI’s benchmarks are promising, independent validation is still needed. In this study, we tested the o1-preview model twice on the Dutch ‘Mathematics B’ final exam. It scored a near-perfect 76 and 74 out of 76 points. For context, only 24 out of 16,414 students in the Netherlands achieved a perfect score. By comparison, the GPT-4o model scored 66 and 62 out of 76, well above the Dutch average of 40.63 points. Neither model had access to the exam figures. Since there was a risk of model contamination (i.e., the knowledge cutoff of o1-preview and GPT-4o was after the exam was published online), we repeated the procedure with a new Mathematics B exam that was published after the cutoff date. The results again indicated that o1-preview performed strongly (97.8th percentile), which suggests that contamination was not a factor. We also show that there is some variability in the output of o1-preview, which means that sometimes there is ‘luck’ (the answer is correct) or ‘bad luck’ (the output has diverged into something that is incorrect). We demonstrate that a self-consistency approach, where repeated prompts are given and the most common answer is selected, is a useful strategy for identifying the correct answer. It is concluded that while OpenAI’s new model series holds great potential, certain risks must be considered.
Submission history
From: Joost De Winter [view email]
[v1]
Thu, 19 Sep 2024 19:48:31 UTC (4,385 KB)
[v2]
Fri, 18 Oct 2024 17:30:04 UTC (4,501 KB)
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